Commissioned by NCOSS and a coalition of peak bodies, ‘A Wave of Disadvantage Across NSW: the Impact of the COVID-19 Recession’ models the impact that rising unemployment will have on social disadvantage in NSW by June 2021.
The report focuses on five key domains of disadvantage: housing, domestic violence, child protection, mental health and education. Equity Economics estimates that without interventions to strengthen the social safety net by June 2021:
- The number of 20-24 year olds in NSW experiencing high or very high mental distress will increase by up to 16.8 per cent.
- Further to the impacts of COVID-19, higher unemployment will lead to rates of domestic violence increasing by up to 5.5 per cent in some regions of NSW.
- Over 9,000 more people in NSW will be homeless – a rise of 24.0 per cent in the homeless population.
- Some regions in NSW will experience a 40.5 per cent increase in homelessness.
- The number of NSW families experiencing housing stress will increase by over 88,000 or 24.3 per cent.
- There will be 27,447 more children at risk of neglect across NSW, a 24.5 per cent rise due to increased unemployment.
- Mean NAPLAN scores in Year 9 maths will fall by 23.6 points (3.5 per cent) in 2021 compared to 2019 results, with some areas improving and other areas, including those with a high proportion of Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander students falling over 6 per cent.
Read the full report here:
The Impact of the COVID-19 Recession on Regional NSW
The impact of the COVID-19 recession will be felt to varying degrees across NSW. NCOSS has developed fact sheets for regional SA4 areas highlighting projections across the five key domains of disadvantage.